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Hockey-stick team in trouble

November 25, 2009 Leave a comment

Law-suits are flying!

Antony Watts through the CEI is posting notice to file suit against GISS/NASA
US Senator Jim Inhofe begins investigation by demanding that US Federal agencies retain documents from what now is called “ClimateGate”
and as earlier reported, Lord Lawson has called for independent inquiries into the Hadley Climate Research Unit

Strangely enough, media in Sweden is completely silent. Huh. Imagine that …

ZeroHedge picks up the thread, and some thermometer investigations

November 25, 2009 Leave a comment

ZeroHedge picks up on the global warming fraud here.

An image I just had to borrow from a The Air Vent :

Two temperature measuring stations

Two temperature measuring stations

How can two temperature stations that are so close to each other give such fundamentally different readings? Well, it has to do with the reliability of measurements, among other things. Follow the link to the Air Vent to find out.

Climate Fraud T-shirts : Get them while they are hot!

November 24, 2009 Leave a comment

While mainstream media tries to pretend like it’s raining, and politicians are trying to figure out what this whole “climate scam thing” is about, the blogging community has already reported, dissected, reported and found time to make funny t-shirts about it. The old media is not just slow, it’s positively retarded.

Worst CRU email yet

November 24, 2009 Leave a comment

This is unbelievable. Completely unbelievable. Ian Harris (the guy who wrote the  HARRY_READ_ME.txt?) is discussing with Tim Osborn how to tailor-make an algorithm that will make the data look like desired. How can it be interpreted any other way???

From: Ian Harris <i.harris@xxxxxxxxx.xxx>
To: t.osborn@xxxxxxxxx.xxx
Subject: Re: Hopefully fixed TMP
Date: Fri, 4 Sep 2009 14:50:20 +0100

Hi Tim

I’ve re-run with the same database used for the previous 2006 run (tmp.0705101334.dtb). /cru/cruts/version_3_0/update_top/gridded_finals/data/data.0909041051/
tmp/cru_ts_3_00.1901.2008.tmp.dat.nc.gz Is that any better? If not please can you send the traditional multi-page country plots for me to pore over?

Cheers

Harry

On 3 Sep 2009, at 17:04, Tim Osborn wrote:

Hi Harry and Phil,

the mean level of the “updated-to-2008″ CRU TS 3.0 now looks good,  matching closely with the 1961-1990 means of the earlier CRU TS 3.0  and CRU TS 2.1. Please see the attached PDF of country mean time series, comparing last-year’s CRUTS 3.0 (black, up to 2005) with the most-recent CRU TS 3.0 (pink, up to 2008).

Latest version matches last-year’s version well for the most part, and where differences do occur I can’t say that the new version is any worse than last-year’s version (some may be better). One exception is the hot JJA in Europe in 2003. This is less extreme in the latest version. See attached PNG for a blow-up of France in JJA. I‘m sure some people will use CRU TS 3.0 to look at 2003 in Europe, so we need to be happy with the version we release. Perhaps some hot stations have been dropped as outliers (more than 3 standard deviations from the mean?)?

But I’m not sure if that is the reason, since outlier checking was  already used in last-year’s version, wasn’t it? Does the outlier checking always check +-3 SD from 61-90 mean (or  normal), or does it check +-3 SD from the local mean (30-years centred on the value) which would allow for a gradual warming in both mean and  outlier threshold?

Cheers
Tim

On Wed, September 2, 2009 6:08 pm, Ian Harris wrote:

Tim

When you have the time and/or the inclination, please can you run the new TMP output through your IDL thingummajig? /cru/cruts/version_3_0/update_top/gridded_finals/data/data.0909021348/ tmp/cru_ts_3_00.1901.2008.tmp.dat.nc.gz

Please let me know if you can’t access it. I do appreciate your help!

Cheers

Harry

Carbon dioxide reaches record levels (but…)

November 24, 2009 Leave a comment

….why isn’t it getting warmer then?? The entire argument was that it was supposed to get warmer! Newspapers really should think first and publish later. Meanwhile, I still recommend that people take a look at the CRU email data that leaked. How are they going to “hide the decline” in temperatures from 1998, one wonders?

DN

 

Climate Fraud Awareness – rising towards critical mass

November 24, 2009 Leave a comment

Can you hear that cracking sound? That’s truth, starting to break through the shackles of scientific fraud and political propaganda.

Found this :

Australian protests (click image for original post)

Australian protests (click image for original post)

Swedish media refuses to report IPCC/Hadley scandal

November 24, 2009 Leave a comment

So, let me do it for them. This is stuff that leaked out from the Hadley Climate Research Unit, responsible for much of the work behind the IPCC climate reports. Do these scientists seem trustworthy to you? Does it seem proper to retard the economic development of the ENTIRE WORLD just because these guys produced an odd-looking graph?

Have you READ the criticism? Or the original reports? Are you aware that a decision in Copenhagen is going to doom millions of poor people to a life without electricity and clean water? We NEED power, and we NEED to use coal and oil. Carbon-dioxide does NOT mean the apocalypse – it means minimal heating, and better crops worldwide. Stop being ignorant – and at least look at the facts. If anyone want to debate this, start by putting down a comment explaining how CO2 will lead to catastrophic warming.

The sad fact is that the explanation does not exist – its a political fraud. I challenge you to try me on it.

SvD, DN

(and I fully intend to come back with a post outlining what is wrong with the RealClimate’s supposed “defense” for the statements made)

Update : Blogosphere now crawling with CRU data

November 23, 2009 Leave a comment

\FOIA\documents\osborn-tree6\summer_modes\data4sweden.pro

“printf,1,’IMPORTANT NOTE:’
printf,1,’The data after 1960 should not be used. The tree-ring density’
printf,1,’records tend to show a decline after 1960 relative to the summer’
printf,1,’temperature in many high-latitude locations. In this data set’
printf,1,’this “decline” has been artificially removed in an ad-hoc way, and’
printf,1,’this means that data after 1960 no longer represent tree-ring
printf,1,’density variations, but have been modified to look more like the
printf,1,’observed temperatures.’”

In what universe can this be non-suspicious? Even if it says that the data should not be used, why would someone remove a decline in an “artificially ad-hoc way” ?

\FOIA\documents\cru-code\idl\pro\README_GRIDDING.TXT

“Bear in mind that there is no working synthetic method for cloud, because Mark New
lost the coefficients file and never found it again (despite searching on tape
archives at UEA) and never recreated it. This hasn’t mattered too much, because
the synthetic cloud grids had not been discarded for 1901-95, and after 1995
sunshine data is used instead of cloud data anyway.”

Do these “scientists” do anything except lose track of where they put data all day long?

To bad to be true CRU code

November 23, 2009 Leave a comment

While I’ve been focusing on the email dump from CRU, others have started looking at the code. This is completely unbelievable :

function mkp2correlation,indts,depts,remts,t,filter=filter,refperiod=refperiod,$
datathresh=datathresh
;
; THIS WORKS WITH REMTS BEING A 2D ARRAY (nseries,ntime) OF MULTIPLE TIMESERIES
; WHOSE INFLUENCE IS TO BE REMOVED. UNFORTUNATELY THE IDL5.4 p_correlate
; FAILS WITH >1 SERIES TO HOLD CONSTANT, SO I HAVE TO REMOVE THEIR INFLUENCE
; FROM BOTH INDTS AND DEPTS USING MULTIPLE LINEAR REGRESSION AND THEN USE THE
; USUAL correlate FUNCTION ON THE RESIDUALS.
;

pro maps12,yrstart,doinfill=doinfill
;
; Plots 24 yearly maps of calibrated (PCR-infilled or not) MXD reconstructions
; of growing season temperatures. Uses “corrected” MXD – but shouldn’t usually
; plot past 1960 because these will be artificially adjusted to look closer to
; the real temperatures.

;
; Plots (1 at a time) yearly maps of calibrated (PCR-infilled or not) MXD
; reconstructions
; of growing season temperatures. Uses “corrected” MXD – but shouldn’t usually
; plot past 1960 because these will be artificially adjusted to look closer to
; the real temperatures.

Artificially adjusted to look closer to the real temperatures!?!?!?!?!? I cannot vouch for the validity of this code, I will have to direct towards the Air Vent – but presumably it comes from the bundle dumped last Thursday.

Update : Another one, from Wattsupwiththat

================

From documents\harris-tree\recon_esper.pro:

; Computes regressions on full, high and low pass Esper et al. (2002) series,
; anomalies against full NH temperatures and other series.
; CALIBRATES IT AGAINST THE LAND-ONLY TEMPERATURES NORTH OF 20 N
;
; Specify period over which to compute the regressions (stop in 1960 to avoid
; the decline
;

Note the wording here “avoid the decline” versus “hide the decline” in the famous email.

===============

Avoid the decline? Which decline should be avoided and why???

IPCC credibility flew straight out the window

November 23, 2009 Leave a comment

Newspaper article in Swedish paper today. Apparently Antarctica is warming, ice melting etc. etc. According to the IPCC. Unfortunately, they cannot be trusted, now can they? It seems that media has not caught on to the fact that they have been secretly manipulating data. Another article in another paper has leading Swedish climate scientists saying that the emails that where released “seemed to be a very specific selection” and “weren’t representative”. Excuse me?!? Does it matter that these guys have in other emails NOT confessed to manipulating data when they in these emails clearly confess to having done so? What are you – completely insane??? Who says they haven’t done this with ice-cover statistics as well? We need a new IPCC – one without political motifs. Only then can we assess if there is something we should worry about with the worlds climate. My guess – there isn’t.

CRU email rundown here

DN Aft